GEOS Plan

GEOS Plan

From Founding to Finance-Grade Education Outcome Standards

Preamble: Institutional Tempo and Precedent β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”--

The GEOS Organization is designed with explicit reference to two successful but structurally distinct precedents.

Education outcome measurement more closely resembles the latter case than the former. Accordingly, The GEOS Organization is designed to become operational quickly, but to proceed slowlyβ€”or, at most, "with all deliberate speed"β€”thereafter, by publishing initial standards and conformity assessment processes early, narrowing scope before expanding, and improving continuously as evidence, use, and trust accumulate.

Phase 1 (Months 0–3): Founding, Scope Lock, and Governance Resolution β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”--

Objective: Establish legal existence, constrain mandate, and satisfy the Charter's 90-day governance requirements.

Key actions:

Deliverables:

Phase 2 (Months 3–6): Institutional Capacity and Evidence Grounding β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”

Objective: Build a credible technical core and ground work in what has already succeeded.

Key actions:

Deliverables:

Phase 3 (Months 6–12): First Standards + First Conformity Assessment Processes (Coupled) β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”

Objective: Publish usable standardsβ€”never metrics without assessment.

Key actions:

Deliverables:

Phase 4 (Months 12–18): Pilot Application and Independent Evaluation β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”-

Objective: Test credibility before scale.

Key actions:

Deliverables:

Phase 5 (Months 18–30): Controlled Expansion and Portfolio Development β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”

Objective: Broaden carefully, not explosively.

Key actions:

Deliverables:

Phase 6 (Ongoing): Recursive Improvement by Design β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”

Objectives: Institutionalize learning; broadening of scope with all deliberate speed.

Key actions:

Operating principle: The GEOS Organization does not "finish" its standards. It improves them continuously, in public, under use, and steadily broadens the scope of its standards to include more subjects, grades, languages, countries, etc.

Summary β€”β€”β€”--

The GEOS Organization is designed to move fast enough to matter, but slow enough to be trusted. It begins with narrow scope, coupled standards and conformity assessment, and external scrutinyβ€”then grows only as evidence justifies expansion. This balance reflects the hard-won lessons of both Gavi and FATF, applied to the uniquely complex measurement challenges of education..

Appendix A β€”β€”β€”β€”--

Indicative Seven-Year Budget for The GEOS Organization

(Non-Binding; for Transparency Only)

This Appendix provides an order-of-magnitude estimate of the one-time setup costs and ongoing operating costs required to establish and operate The GEOS Organization as a small, permanent standards-and-assurance utility, consistent with the constraints set out in the Charter and the phased approach described in this Plan. The figures below are illustrative and non-binding; they are intended to demonstrate institutional realism and restraint, not to constitute a funding request or financial commitment.

Note: GEOSor certification, GEOSor Certified Partner accreditation, and trademark costs are budgeted separately in the RBF4Ed Evidence Infrastructure proposal (USD 2.1M). This appendix covers the GEOS Organization's standards-and-assurance operations only.

Budgeting Assumptions

The estimates below assume that The GEOS Organization:

All amounts are expressed in USD and rounded.

One-Time Setup Costs (Pre-Year 1)

Category Description Estimated Cost β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”- β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”-- β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”-- Legal formation & incorporation Legal setup, jurisdictional structuring, compliance $250,000 Governance resolution & Charter finalization Founding governance resolutions, policies $125,000 Initial standards architecture design Scope lock, taxonomy framing, template design $325,000 Conformity assessment framework Auditability rules, procedures, contestability $250,000 External legal & assurance review Independent review to de-risk governance $175,000 Initial technical working groups Time-bound expert inputs $275,000 Transparency & publication infrastructure Website, registries, document systems $100,000

Total one-time setup cost: $1.5M

Annual Operating Costs (Years 1–7)

Core Secretariat (steady-state \~4–5 FTE)

Annual Cost Envelope by Phase

Year Focus Estimated Annual Cost β€”β€”β€”- β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”- β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€” Year 1 Founding, scope lock, initial standards work $1.3M Year 2 Standards v0.1 and assessment procedures $1.7M Year 3 Pilot conformity assessments & evaluation $1.9M Year 4 Evaluation, revision, governance review $1.9M Year 5 Controlled expansion of standards portfolio $2.0M Year 6 Steady-state operations $2.0M Year 7 Mature standards utility operations $2.2M

Total seven-year operating cost: $13.0M

Aggregate Cost Summary

Component Estimated Cost β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€” β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€” One-time setup $1.5M Seven-year operations $13.0M Total (7–8 years) $14.5M

Interpretation and Use

These figures are intended to:

Actual expenditures, phasing, and funding arrangements will depend on governance decisions, sequencing choices, and partner participation, and will be subject to independent oversight consistent with The GEOS Organization's Charter.